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THE DOLLAR TRAP

HOW THE U.S. DOLLAR TIGHTENED ITS GRIP ON GLOBAL FINANCE

For international investors and economic policy wonks, particularly those following the development of Chinese economic...

Richly detailed study of global finances, examining how and why the dollar became the favored currency of international trade.

In 2008, when the financial markets nearly collapsed in the United States and then, continent by continent, around the world, something counterintuitive happened: Money flowed back into the U.S., as American investors pulled their money out of foreign commitments and foreign investors sought the relatively safe haven of the dollar, mostly as expressed through treasury bonds. “The dollar,” writes Brookings Institution senior fellow Prasad (Trade Policy/Cornell Univ.; co-editor: New Paradigms for Financial Regulation: Emerging Market Perspectives, 2012, etc.), “which should by all rights have plunged in value, instead rose sharply against virtually every other currency. It even rose against all other major reserve currencies except for the Japanese yen.” The dollar has weathered other challenges, as well, including the threat of a default on the part of Congress and, about the same time, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index rating cut, reflecting pessimism over the inability of the U.S. government to address debt. No other currency, Prasad argues, is as strong—adding, cautiously, “relatively speaking.” The result is that no other economy is positioned to supplant the dollar, a pointed thought insofar as China is attempting to expand its official currency, the renminbi, beyond its national borders. Prasad warns that nothing lasts forever, so the question is not whether the dollar will remain the leading reserve currency forever but, instead, how much time it has left to hold that position—presuming that some other currency rises to dominance or even that “the entire system of reserve currencies will be replaced by a different arrangement.”

For international investors and economic policy wonks, particularly those following the development of Chinese economic strategy.

Pub Date: Feb. 1, 2014

ISBN: 978-0-691-16112-9

Page Count: 424

Publisher: Princeton Univ.

Review Posted Online: Dec. 20, 2013

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Jan. 1, 2014

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THINKING, FAST AND SLOW

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our...

A psychologist and Nobel Prize winner summarizes and synthesizes the recent decades of research on intuition and systematic thinking.

The author of several scholarly texts, Kahneman (Emeritus Psychology and Public Affairs/Princeton Univ.) now offers general readers not just the findings of psychological research but also a better understanding of how research questions arise and how scholars systematically frame and answer them. He begins with the distinction between System 1 and System 2 mental operations, the former referring to quick, automatic thought, the latter to more effortful, overt thinking. We rely heavily, writes, on System 1, resorting to the higher-energy System 2 only when we need or want to. Kahneman continually refers to System 2 as “lazy”: We don’t want to think rigorously about something. The author then explores the nuances of our two-system minds, showing how they perform in various situations. Psychological experiments have repeatedly revealed that our intuitions are generally wrong, that our assessments are based on biases and that our System 1 hates doubt and despises ambiguity. Kahneman largely avoids jargon; when he does use some (“heuristics,” for example), he argues that such terms really ought to join our everyday vocabulary. He reviews many fundamental concepts in psychology and statistics (regression to the mean, the narrative fallacy, the optimistic bias), showing how they relate to his overall concerns about how we think and why we make the decisions that we do. Some of the later chapters (dealing with risk-taking and statistics and probabilities) are denser than others (some readers may resent such demands on System 2!), but the passages that deal with the economic and political implications of the research are gripping.

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our minds.

Pub Date: Nov. 1, 2011

ISBN: 978-0-374-27563-1

Page Count: 512

Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux

Review Posted Online: Sept. 3, 2011

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Sept. 15, 2011

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THE CULTURE MAP

BREAKING THROUGH THE INVISIBLE BOUNDARIES OF GLOBAL BUSINESS

These are not hard and fast rules, but Meyer delivers important reading for those engaged in international business.

A helpful guide to working effectively with people from other cultures.

“The sad truth is that the vast majority of managers who conduct business internationally have little understanding about how culture is impacting their work,” writes Meyer, a professor at INSEAD, an international business school. Yet they face a wider array of work styles than ever before in dealing with clients, suppliers and colleagues from around the world. When is it best to speak or stay quiet? What is the role of the leader in the room? When working with foreign business people, failing to take cultural differences into account can lead to frustration, misunderstanding or worse. Based on research and her experiences teaching cross-cultural behaviors to executive students, the author examines a handful of key areas. Among others, they include communicating (Anglo-Saxons are explicit; Asians communicate implicitly, requiring listeners to read between the lines), developing a sense of trust (Brazilians do it over long lunches), and decision-making (Germans rely on consensus, Americans on one decider). In each area, the author provides a “culture map scale” that positions behaviors in more than 20 countries along a continuum, allowing readers to anticipate the preferences of individuals from a particular country: Do they like direct or indirect negative feedback? Are they rigid or flexible regarding deadlines? Do they favor verbal or written commitments? And so on. Meyer discusses managers who have faced perplexing situations, such as knowledgeable team members who fail to speak up in meetings or Indians who offer a puzzling half-shake, half-nod of the head. Cultural differences—not personality quirks—are the motivating factors behind many behavioral styles. Depending on our cultures, we understand the world in a particular way, find certain arguments persuasive or lacking merit, and consider some ways of making decisions or measuring time natural and others quite strange.

These are not hard and fast rules, but Meyer delivers important reading for those engaged in international business.

Pub Date: May 27, 2014

ISBN: 978-1-61039-250-1

Page Count: 288

Publisher: PublicAffairs

Review Posted Online: April 15, 2014

Kirkus Reviews Issue: May 1, 2014

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