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THE MEASURE OF PROGRESS

COUNTING WHAT REALLY MATTERS

A slog for noneconomists, but revelatory to anyone who’s tracking the numbers.

Or, what we talk about when we talk about GDP.

Coyle, a published scholar of economic history and statistics, opens with a provocation: How do we measure the “beneficial effects of the ultrasound therapy” used to clear away brain cells implicated in Parkinson’s disease? By most measures, this is a cost, but how does one account for the possible positive effects on patients who are able to return to work? How do we factor in the cost of carbon in producing a good? How do we measure productivity in terms of time—possibly a more revealing metric than mere dollar value? For that matter, what do we mean when we use the word “value,” anyway? Coyle holds that standard measures such as GDP and the more comprehensive SNA (System of National Accounts) work from invalid assumptions: They presuppose that natural resources are limitless and free, and they do consider externalities—the cost to the environment of a coal-fired plant, say. As for the digital world, with all its abstract characteristics, well, Coyle observes, “This is a new era, and a new statistical framework ­will be needed.” Just what that new statistical framework might encompass is the brief of this book, which will prove as clear as a slurry-filled stream to anyone without grounding in economics and its mathematics. For those who have the background, though, Coyle offers useful notes for future research on matters such as how to more accurately measure the effects of inflation (which tend to be exaggerated), how to incorporate a “hedonic adjustment”—the index of how much pleasure owning or using something might bring—into the raw numbers, and how better to use statistics to give governments better guidance, since “the purpose of statistics is to enable the state to govern well.”

A slog for noneconomists, but revelatory to anyone who’s tracking the numbers.

Pub Date: April 1, 2025

ISBN: 9780691179025

Page Count: 320

Publisher: Princeton Univ.

Review Posted Online: Jan. 21, 2025

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Feb. 15, 2025

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THINKING, FAST AND SLOW

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our...

A psychologist and Nobel Prize winner summarizes and synthesizes the recent decades of research on intuition and systematic thinking.

The author of several scholarly texts, Kahneman (Emeritus Psychology and Public Affairs/Princeton Univ.) now offers general readers not just the findings of psychological research but also a better understanding of how research questions arise and how scholars systematically frame and answer them. He begins with the distinction between System 1 and System 2 mental operations, the former referring to quick, automatic thought, the latter to more effortful, overt thinking. We rely heavily, writes, on System 1, resorting to the higher-energy System 2 only when we need or want to. Kahneman continually refers to System 2 as “lazy”: We don’t want to think rigorously about something. The author then explores the nuances of our two-system minds, showing how they perform in various situations. Psychological experiments have repeatedly revealed that our intuitions are generally wrong, that our assessments are based on biases and that our System 1 hates doubt and despises ambiguity. Kahneman largely avoids jargon; when he does use some (“heuristics,” for example), he argues that such terms really ought to join our everyday vocabulary. He reviews many fundamental concepts in psychology and statistics (regression to the mean, the narrative fallacy, the optimistic bias), showing how they relate to his overall concerns about how we think and why we make the decisions that we do. Some of the later chapters (dealing with risk-taking and statistics and probabilities) are denser than others (some readers may resent such demands on System 2!), but the passages that deal with the economic and political implications of the research are gripping.

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our minds.

Pub Date: Nov. 1, 2011

ISBN: 978-0-374-27563-1

Page Count: 512

Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux

Review Posted Online: Sept. 3, 2011

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Sept. 15, 2011

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WHO KNEW

MY STORY

Highly instructive for would-be tycoons, with plenty of entertaining interludes.

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Well-crafted memoir by the noted media mogul.

Diller’s home life as a youngster was anything but happy; as he writes early on, “The household I grew up in was perfectly dysfunctional.” His mother lived in her own world, his father was knee-deep in business deals, his brother was a heroin addict, and he tried to play by all the rules in order to allay “my fear of the consequences from my incipient homosexuality.” Somehow he fell into the orbit of show business figures like Lew Wasserman (“I was once arrested for joy-riding in Mrs. Wasserman’s Bentley”) and decided that Hollywood offered the right kind of escape. Starting in the proverbial mailroom, he worked his way up to be a junior talent agent, then scrambled up the ladder to become a high-up executive at ABC, head of Paramount and Fox, and an internet pioneer who invested in Match.com and took over a revitalized Ticketmaster. None of that ascent was easy, and Diller documents several key failures along the way, including boardroom betrayals (“What a monumental dope I’d been. They’d taken over the company—in a merger I’d created—with venality and duplicity”) and strategic missteps. It’s no news that the corporate world is rife with misbehavior, but the better part of Diller’s book is his dish on the players: He meets Jack Nicholson at the William Morris Agency, “wandering through the halls, looking for anyone who’d pay attention to him”; hangs out with Warren Beatty, ever on the make; mispronounces Barbra Streisand’s name (“her glare at me as she walked out would have fried a fish”); learns a remedy for prostatitis from Katharine Hepburn (“My father was an expert urological surgeon, and I know what I’m doing”); and much more in one of the better show-biz memoirs to appear in recent years.

Highly instructive for would-be tycoons, with plenty of entertaining interludes.

Pub Date: May 20, 2025

ISBN: 9780593317877

Page Count: 352

Publisher: Simon & Schuster

Review Posted Online: May 12, 2025

Kirkus Reviews Issue: June 15, 2025

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