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THE VANDALS' CROWN

HOW REBEL CURRENCY TRADERS OVERTHREW THE WORLD'S CENTRAL BANKS

A journalist's authoritative audit of the quiet revolutions that have not only convulsed the Global Village's financial centers but also have obliged investors to assume risks that are not widely appreciated, let alone understood. Throughout his accessible briefings on developments like the breakdown of the Bretton Woods accord, the emergence of a wealth of futures markets, and the computer-assisted creation of so-called derivatives, Millman (The Floating Battlefield, not reviewed) offers periodic takes on the 199293 clash that pitted hedgers and speculators acting in their own economic interests against the closet nationalists who sponsored the European Monetary System's Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). In addition to documenting the advantage that those who enforce supply/demand law have over regulatory agencies in a world where advanced telecommunications technology has effectively removed all borders, the author offers his rundowns on what's been happening in particular spots on the fiscal map. As Millman makes abundantly clear, moreover, the speculators castigated by central bankers and allied defenders of the stable-currencies faith are as apt to be multinational corporations hedging their positions as to be profit-crazed traders. Among the notable casualties of the seemingly irresistible trend to market-imposed financial discipline he lists Japan's fabled bureaucrats, who have lost control of their country's rigged stock markets. In the author's evenhanded view, the creative destruction owners and managers of capital have visited upon improvident, overly optimistic, or simply recalcitrant governments (whose weapon of choice, interest rates, can prove a two-edged sword) is a good omen for socioeconomic freedom. Whether the victors (whom Millman likens to the Vandal conquerors of the Roman Empire) can or will rule, of course, is another story altogether. A blue-chip reckoning on the consequences and implications of an increasingly interdependent world's financial order. (Author tour)

Pub Date: May 1, 1995

ISBN: 0-02-921287-1

Page Count: 320

Publisher: Free Press

Review Posted Online: May 19, 2010

Kirkus Reviews Issue: March 1, 1995

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THINKING, FAST AND SLOW

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our...

A psychologist and Nobel Prize winner summarizes and synthesizes the recent decades of research on intuition and systematic thinking.

The author of several scholarly texts, Kahneman (Emeritus Psychology and Public Affairs/Princeton Univ.) now offers general readers not just the findings of psychological research but also a better understanding of how research questions arise and how scholars systematically frame and answer them. He begins with the distinction between System 1 and System 2 mental operations, the former referring to quick, automatic thought, the latter to more effortful, overt thinking. We rely heavily, writes, on System 1, resorting to the higher-energy System 2 only when we need or want to. Kahneman continually refers to System 2 as “lazy”: We don’t want to think rigorously about something. The author then explores the nuances of our two-system minds, showing how they perform in various situations. Psychological experiments have repeatedly revealed that our intuitions are generally wrong, that our assessments are based on biases and that our System 1 hates doubt and despises ambiguity. Kahneman largely avoids jargon; when he does use some (“heuristics,” for example), he argues that such terms really ought to join our everyday vocabulary. He reviews many fundamental concepts in psychology and statistics (regression to the mean, the narrative fallacy, the optimistic bias), showing how they relate to his overall concerns about how we think and why we make the decisions that we do. Some of the later chapters (dealing with risk-taking and statistics and probabilities) are denser than others (some readers may resent such demands on System 2!), but the passages that deal with the economic and political implications of the research are gripping.

Striking research showing the immense complexity of ordinary thought and revealing the identities of the gatekeepers in our minds.

Pub Date: Nov. 1, 2011

ISBN: 978-0-374-27563-1

Page Count: 512

Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux

Review Posted Online: Sept. 3, 2011

Kirkus Reviews Issue: Sept. 15, 2011

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THE CULTURE MAP

BREAKING THROUGH THE INVISIBLE BOUNDARIES OF GLOBAL BUSINESS

These are not hard and fast rules, but Meyer delivers important reading for those engaged in international business.

A helpful guide to working effectively with people from other cultures.

“The sad truth is that the vast majority of managers who conduct business internationally have little understanding about how culture is impacting their work,” writes Meyer, a professor at INSEAD, an international business school. Yet they face a wider array of work styles than ever before in dealing with clients, suppliers and colleagues from around the world. When is it best to speak or stay quiet? What is the role of the leader in the room? When working with foreign business people, failing to take cultural differences into account can lead to frustration, misunderstanding or worse. Based on research and her experiences teaching cross-cultural behaviors to executive students, the author examines a handful of key areas. Among others, they include communicating (Anglo-Saxons are explicit; Asians communicate implicitly, requiring listeners to read between the lines), developing a sense of trust (Brazilians do it over long lunches), and decision-making (Germans rely on consensus, Americans on one decider). In each area, the author provides a “culture map scale” that positions behaviors in more than 20 countries along a continuum, allowing readers to anticipate the preferences of individuals from a particular country: Do they like direct or indirect negative feedback? Are they rigid or flexible regarding deadlines? Do they favor verbal or written commitments? And so on. Meyer discusses managers who have faced perplexing situations, such as knowledgeable team members who fail to speak up in meetings or Indians who offer a puzzling half-shake, half-nod of the head. Cultural differences—not personality quirks—are the motivating factors behind many behavioral styles. Depending on our cultures, we understand the world in a particular way, find certain arguments persuasive or lacking merit, and consider some ways of making decisions or measuring time natural and others quite strange.

These are not hard and fast rules, but Meyer delivers important reading for those engaged in international business.

Pub Date: May 27, 2014

ISBN: 978-1-61039-250-1

Page Count: 288

Publisher: PublicAffairs

Review Posted Online: April 15, 2014

Kirkus Reviews Issue: May 1, 2014

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